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Global Crisis Response

The true strength of GCR.org lies in the powerful intersection and synergy between the A and B Project Series, creating an integrated approach that moves beyond theoretical discussions to tangible, transformative action.

  1. The A-Series provides theoretical rigor, validated frameworks, and strategic communication approaches that inform and guide the practical actions of the B-Series.
  2. Conversely, the B-Series provides crucial real-world grounding and feedback for the A-Series, with practical experiences and lessons learned from establishing bioregional communities providing vital input for refining the TERRA and GCRS frameworks.

This synergistic relationship creates a virtuous cycle of theory informing practice and practice refining theory, maximizing impact and effectiveness. The integration ensures that conceptual development remains grounded in practical reality while community-building efforts are guided by rigorous theoretical frameworks. This approach allows GCR.org to simultaneously work on shifting global discourse while building tangible alternatives, creating multiple pathways for transformation that reinforce each other.

How do A-Series and B-Series projects work together synergistically?

B-Series projects constitute GCR.org's strategic response for catalyzing bottom-up societal transition, focusing on cultivating deep resilience in India and South Asia with scalability for the global south. While A-Series develops theoretical foundations, B-Series focuses on the 'how' and 'where' of building tangible, resilient alternatives from the ground up. Key B-Series components include

  1. demarcating and mapping bioregions based on ecological, economic, and cultural coherence,
  2. identifying and mapping existing intentional communities to weave them into stronger interconnected movements,
  3. creating interactive online bioregional platforms that serve as digital hearts for community building,
  4. developing practical blueprints for functional resilient local communities, establishing physical Bioregional Facilitation Centers, and
  5. researching the integration of volunteer-based civil defense systems with official disaster management structures

B-Series projects provide geographical foundations for reorganizing society along more sustainable lines while creating visibility for pioneering efforts and facilitating knowledge exchange. The series establishes physical demonstration sites that anchor local community building and experimentation, providing tangible examples of the principles developed in A-Series work.

How do B-Series projects work and where are they implemented?

A-Series projects represent GCR.org's strategic focus on building the intellectual and practical infrastructure necessary to navigate potential civilizational transitions at a strategic level, primarily through top-down efforts aimed at global discourse shift. This series provides the vital conceptual and strategic foundation for GCR.org's mission, developing and validating the necessary frameworks and strategies to understand the Global Crisis and articulate a viable path forward. Key A-Series components include

§ conceptual validation and refinement of the TERRA and GCRS frameworks,

  1. discourse transformation to shift global conversation away from insufficient narratives,
  2. building human capacity through accessible learning programs,
  3. knowledge management through comprehensive databases,
  4. ecosystem development for mobilizing philanthropic resources, and
  5. anticipatory research analyzing critical infrastructural vulnerabilities.

The A-Series develops the 'what' and 'why' of the new paradigm, ensuring that GCR.org's frameworks meet the highest standards of intellectual rigor and practical utility before mainstream implementation.

These projects focus on creating strategic communication approaches that can engage diverse audiences and translating complex ideas into accessible formats that empower individuals and communities with necessary knowledge and skills.

What are A-Series projects and what do they accomplish?

A-Series (Top-Down): Develops strategic frameworks like TERRA & GCRS, reshaping global discourse and building intellectual infrastructure.

 

B-Series (Bottom-Up): Cultivates real-world community resilience through mapping bioregions, enabling local governance, and building facilitation centers.

What are A-Series and B-Series initiatives/projects?

GCR.org proposes a synchronized response involving both top-down and bottom-up strategies.

 

Top-down strategies focus on shifting global discourse, building consensus via the TERRA Framework and GCRS, engaging policy actors, academia, civil society, and the public, and creating a global funding ecosystem for Strong Sustainability efforts.

 

Bottom-up strategiesinvolve reorganizing society along bioregions, restoring ecosystems, decoupling from the money economy, building collapse resilience in local communities, and creating transition infrastructures and institutions like Multi-purpose Cooperatives (MPCs) and Bioregional Facilitation Centers (BFCs).

How does GCR.org propose to transition from the Dominant Paradigm (DP) to the New Paradigm (NP)?

Strong Sustainability, as defined within GCR.org's framework, represents approaches that are effective without relying on industrial inputs, endless growth, complexity, cheap energy and without causing further ecological degradation. This concept stands in stark contrast to "Weak Sustainability," which attempts to maintain current consumption patterns through technological fixes and efficiency improvements within the existing industrial paradigm. Strong Sustainability recognizes that genuine ecological viability requires fundamental systemic change rather than incremental improvements to unsustainable systems. Within the TERRA Framework, Strong Sustainability approaches are identified through their ability to move effectively away from the dominant paradigm while offering holistic and coherent alternatives. The concept emphasizes the necessity of radically reduced consumption and complexity, powered by traditional renewable systems that can function independently of industrial supply chains. For GCR.org, Strong Sustainability represents the only viable path forward for ensuring long-term human and ecological survival in the face of civilizational collapse.

What does "Strong Sustainability" mean in GCR.org's context?

GCRS is a blueprint and mobilizing narrative designed to guide humanity from collapse toward a New Ecological Paradigm (NEP). It advocates for "lifeboats to islands" approach i.e. transitioning to decentralized, resilient communities powered by traditional renewables, localism, and commons-based governance.

Emerging from the Strong Sustainability quadrant within the TERRA framework, GCRS functions as both a model "super-narrative" and a solid action blueprint to pragmatically navigate the interconnected triggers of the Global Crisis. The strategy champions a transition to a New Paradigm or alternative ecological future characterized by radically reduced consumption and complexity, powered by traditional renewable systems. GCRS promotes a "transition to islands via lifeboats" scenario that offers the greatest chance of survivability and delineates interventions for both the collapse phase and the post-collapse "new-normal". This approach acknowledges the inevitability of significant systemic changes while working proactively to shape those changes in ways that preserve human dignity and ecological integrity. The strategy serves as the practical foundation for GCR.org's programmatic work, providing the conceptual bridge between theoretical understanding of the Global Crisis and tangible actions for building resilient alternatives.

What is the Global Crisis Response Strategy (GCRS)?

TERRA (Existential Risk and Response Assessment) Frameworkis a sense-making tool to evaluate which responses to the Global Crisis are genuinely effective. It filters out techno-utopian "false solutions" and helps decision-makers align with "Strong Sustainability" by identifying post-industrial, regenerative pathways.

 

Please note, it is not be confused with TERRA (from CSER) which is a machine-learning model to predict publications relevant to existential risk or global catastrophic risk.

 

TERRA Framework functions as a powerful sense-making, de-cluttering, mapping, and consensus-building tool designed to filter out unviable ideas and guide effective collective human action. Like a compass for navigating a chaotic landscape, TERRA assesses approaches based on two crucial dimensions: how effectively they move away from the unsustainable dominant paradigm towards an alternative viable one, and whether they offer fragmented or holistic and coherent frameworks. This multidimensional assessment allows the identification of responses truly aligned with "Strong Sustainability" - those effective without relying on industrial inputs, endless growth, complexity, cheap energy and without causing further degradation. The framework provides essential clarity in a landscape cluttered with contradictory and often misleading sustainability claims, helping to filter out ineffective, fragmented "techno-optimistic" measures and identify the most effective clusters of response. TERRA empowers the public as well as changemakers, funders, and policymakers to make pragmatic decisions and realign their efforts towards building resilient, transition and post-collapse paradigms.

What is the TERRA Framework and how does it work?

GCR.org outlines three main future trajectories for humanity & life on Earth based on response measures that may be deployed to navigate Global Crisis:

Scenario 1:

“Drill baby, drill” approach or Business as Usual (BAU) measures:

Perpetuates Industrial Civilization (IC), leading to unsustainably high throughput, near-term ecological breakdown, and uncontrolled societal collapse. This scenario prioritizes economic sustainability and ignores the existential predicament.

 

Scenario 2:

“Kicking the can down the road” approach or Weak Sustainability (WS) measures:

Attempts to perpetuate IC with lower throughput but still high consumption, resulting in delayed ecological breakdown and uncontrolled, abrupt societal collapse. It recognizes the crisis partially (only overshoot, not complexity) and aims to sustain growth with new renewables and green growth (via techno-market “solutions”).

 

Scenario 3:

“Transition to self-sufficient islands via lifeboats” approach or Strong Sustainability (SS):

Strong Sustainability rejects fossil powered industrial dependencies. It focuses on regenerative practices that work within ecological limits creating societies that don’t rely on sustenance of GIC or techno-fixes or growth economics.

It embraces prefiguration and prepared transition towards decentralized ecological paradigm with radically low throughput, complexity and consumption. SS acknowledges GIC as the primary driver of humanity’s existential predicament and prioritizes ecological resilience through decentralized governance, localism, rural self-sufficiency bioregionalism, permaculture etc. This is the most viable, sustainable, and aspirational scenario according to GCR.org.

What are the different response scenarios to the Global Crisis (BAU, WS, SS)?

The New Ecological Paradigm (NP) represents an aspirational collective vision for post-collapse "new-normal" futures. It is characterized by radically reduced consumption and complexity, powered by traditional renewable systems. NP entails political and economic decentralization, place-based economies, relocalization, and commons-based green governance at the bioregional level. It emphasizes regenerative cultures, sustainable practices, and a shift towards an "Economy of Permanence" (concept by Gandhian Economist-Dr. J C Kumarappa) built on traditional renewables, low energy-material throughput, and low complexity

What is the "New Paradigm" (NP) that GCR.org envisions?

The Dominant Paradigm (DP) refers to the Globalized Industrial Civilization (GIC), characterized by a centralized State-Market order tethered to exponential growth, complexity, and cheap fossil energy. This paradigm is unsustainable because it leads to unsustainably high throughput (energy and material footprint), exceeds Earth's carrying capacity and planetary boundaries, and accelerates ecological breakdown and societal collapse. It prioritizes economic sustainability and efficiency over ecological resilience, failing to recognize the existential predicament.

What is the "Dominant Paradigm" (DP) and why is it considered unsustainable?

Unfortunately yes, our holistic conceptual approach and emerging scientific evidence appears to increasingly support this stark, yet realistic conclusion.

The physical growth of the global economy rapidly aggravates the overshoot of Planetary Boundaries. Humanity's ecological footprint already exceeds Earth’s annual biocapacity. Human systems are showing symptoms of overshoot, including dual-use runaway technology, unsustainable globalization and financialization, diminishing returns from civilizational complexity, wealth concentration, and resource depletion. These factors collectively suggest that GIC could descend into an irrecoverable cascading collapse well before the full impact of biospheric collapse.

In short, GIC is structurally inevitable due to systemic overshoot, declining energy returns, and complexity limits. Attempts to fix the system may accelerate collapse or delay meaningful transitions. Preparing for what comes next is a more viable moral strategy.

Why does GCR.org assert that collapse of Globalized Industrial Civilization (GIC) is inevitable in the near-term?
Abstract Gradient

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